This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 01:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 140 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 8:07PM CDT until March 15 at 8:30PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- May 10, 2026 · score 34 · 3.6 km
- May 11, 2026 · score 34 · 3.6 km
- May 9, 2026 · score 34 · 5.0 km
How we know
Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100, at 67 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 67% |
| Coordinates | 39.0298, -87.8956 |
| Nearest City | Vincennes (50 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T01:07:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c49ed3f5e81bb65009cc6256715f6ccf |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Richland, IL; Clark, IL |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 8:07PM CDT until March 15 at 8:30PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T20:30:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Lincoln IL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c49ed3f5e81bb65009cc6256715f6ccf673677a5.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.28f28517627e26538a7c53434dc46e97fa094b89.002.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | 60 |
| Spc Location | Louisville |
| Spc County | Clay |
| Spc State | IL |
| Spc Comments | Estimated winds at least 50-60 mph. (ILX) |
| Iem TypeSummary | G |
| Iem Magnitude | 54 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | Flora Municipal Airport |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 46/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.